Tuesday, September 13, 2005

The Economics of Gangs



You must read this article. It's fascinating. Fascinating. No other word. There is no hardcore math. There is no impossible to understand jargon. Well, it has some slightly difficult to understand jargon. But, nothing you can't figure out. I know jackshit in Economics and it made sense to me. So, read it and enjoy!

An Economic Analysis of a Drug-Selling Gang's Finances

It has tree diagrams in it where the don is at the top of the tree and called 'Central Gang Leadership' and gives into leaves called 'Enforcer','Treasurer' and 'Runner'. Below the 'Enforcer' there are 'Foot-soldiers'. It's kind of written in a dispassionate way. I find it amusing.

"..Given the relatively low economic returns to drug selling, the implied willingness to accept risk on the part of the participants is orders of magnitude higher than is typically observed in value of life calculations. That suggests that gang members have very unusual preferences, that the ex post realization of death rates was very different then the ex ante expectation, systematic miscalculation of risk, or the prescence of important noneconomic considerations."

"Morever, the violence keeps customers away. This negative shock to demand is associated with a fall of 20-30 percent in the price and quantity of drugs sold during fighting. In spite, of thus the gang discussed in this paper fights with rivals roughly one fourth of the time."

In the first, he is just trying to say that some stupid niggars are getting their ass shot up. In the second, he actually gives economic considerations why gang wars are not good for 'business'. It also looks at the dynamics of these wars - average duration, territory conquered and so on. According to him, crime doesn't pay - in a fundamental economic way. The average gangster earns about 15,000$ a year, about half the national average. Its the anticipation of future earnings which motivates. A very well written piece.

Anyway, I happened to come upon it during some random browsing. It's by Steven Levitt. He is a Professor of Economics at the University of Chicago. He won the the John Bates Clark Medal in 2002 given to promising economists under 40. A number of those went on to win the Nobel Prize in Economics. This article has a co-author Sudhir Alladi Venkatesh. Indian. There is an Indian Physicist called Alladi Ramakrishnan (he started Institute for Mathematical Sciences, in Taramani, behind IIT), I was wondering if it's his son or relative. I won't be too surprised. If you feel like it, read this one is worth reading as well. Same guy. It gives the background to the first link I put up.
"Are we a family or a business : American Urban Street Gangs"

PS: How is this erudite type stuff? If it's painful I won't put up such stuff :D.

14 comments:

Prashanth said...

Alladi Ramakrishnan lives in Mylapore. I've been to his house... once, 7 years ago. I found him a brilliant but irate and impatient old man.

I wonder if that is the fate of all geniuses in this world.

Anonymous said...

That PIX is of much familiar face of AL CAPONE!!!

Right now I can only think of drugs and ganster movies:

(A) TRUE STORIES:
- The Untouchables: of course based on Al Capone
- Casino: based on gambling-ring of Las Vegas
- Gangs of New York
- Donnie Brasco: based on federal agent, who enters the mob-ring as undercover
- Blow: based on George Jung, the biggest drug-runner of the US

(B) FICTIONS:
- The Godfather Trilogy (the best movie ever made)
- Goodfellas


*Intern
See how I converted your erudite stuff to recile for ENTERTAINMENT!!!

Artful Badger said...

[prashanth] Yeah, he does. Actually, after the talk that we all went to, Arvind started going to his house. He wanted me to come with him for company so I used to go. I used to learn all kind of high tech math and stuff that mostly went over my head. Strangely, most of the stuff I did in IIT was very tame. Okay, I am digressing. In hindsight, I should have pulled out a recco from him. Could have cashed in life :D.
[anon] Yes, Al Capone it is. A lot of the movies that you mention have Al Pacino in it.
The Untouchables - I think I have seen it. It's more about how he got caught. How they managed to get him. His accounts!! Tax not paid!!
A couple of more movies. Scarface. Al Pacino. It's based on a gangster of the same name. Another great gangster one, The Goodfellas, Martin Scorsese.

Anonymous said...

Ohh Ramani, that was quick response......
and I did write *Intern ; so you could know who that Anon was....

Yes you're right about that movie "The Untouchables"; its fascinating that everyone knew that Al capone was behind so many ganster killings on the streets; yet he could never be framed with any murder charge; and only IRS could get him down with tax-evasions and with GREAT difficulty!!!

"Almost" all good ganster movies have Al pacino or Robert De Niro, and of course Martin Scorsese specializes in ganster movies...
There's another Scorsese movie " in production' where he's again teamed up with Di Caprio, the movie titles as " The Departed"; however its a remake of Hong-King movie "Infernal Affairs"... maybe will be out in a few months....

Another interesting ganster movie is "Road to Perdition" which a focus more on the bond between father-son, than on ganster-activities...... slow but good movie!!!

Artful Badger said...

[Intern] Yes, Intern you are.
Yeah. The movie is great. They managed to somehow corner an accountant who was willing to rat and got hold of some account books.
Ohh..I want to see that.
I haven't seen that movie yet. I have wanted to see it for a long time. I have taken that road a number of times though!
Speaking of gangsters, there is a 50 cent movie coming out - The Massacre. It's a urban gang movie versus the slick italian type mafia movies that we are used to. It's about his life. It's bloody violent. If you have listened to him sing, he has a very different voice. Kind of at a pitch you cannot place. That's because a section of his jaw got blown off when he was the victim of a driveby. He took 6 bullets and survived. He apparently always carries a gun with him. Just in case :D.

Anonymous said...

Oh were you there with me on that day? I can scarcely remember, it was so long ago. Of course moo was there, and geniuses draw geniuses, so he kept visiting him... I knew that... but I didn't know you went with him. Hmmm yep, you were quite a genius yourself at Math and Phy... compared to me at any rate! Do you ever wish you were doing your grad studies in the pure sciences rather than in engineering? Me, never! Boy am I glad I'm an engineer...

-SP

Artful Badger said...

Yeah, I was there. Thank you. Thank you. (in my modest best)
Actually thats a good question. I feel I would have liked it. I would have been a lot more passionate atleast. I kind of am not to passionate (never been) about pure geeky stuff per se. So, slowly moving out of it. Trying to atleast.

Anonymous said...

Whoa Ramani,
you're talking to two of us , at two different levels; one a known schoolmate SP and me a totally unknown crazy soul *Intern...

btw when we talk about mafia in the US, aint we genereally talking about Italian/Irish mafia??? This fact is reflected in movies... though Tony Montana ( Al Pacino; movie: Scarface ) was a Cuban immigrant....which brings me to the word "Scarface"; you said its based on a person nicked as such... maybe .... but even Al Capone was Alphonse "Scarface" Capone!!! If you can, see movie "Blow" based on real life of George Jung (Johnny Depp); the biggest drug-dealer (cocaine) of US, he is still alive, in prison of course. Its a good movie!!!


Now coming to your topic; you know Kansas has tax on drug-dealers!!! I mean taxing an illegal trade??? Its like taxing black-money !!! This concept is so weird; but then Kansas also has "Intelligent Design" in school course.
"Cocaine is a proof that God loves us and wants us to be happy!!!"

*Intern

"Whoa" = Working to Halt Online Abuse

Artful Badger said...

Heh..yeah..
Who are you btw? Or is it some kind of secret?
Yeah. I always thought that guy was called Scarface because he had a scar or because he was generally so 'friendly' with all whom he met. Hmm..Blow..Johnny Depp movies are generally pretty different...they don't have the same feel as 'other' movies..I saw Edwards Scissor hands...totally offbeat..
Irt does?? How could they do that. I think Kansas comes up with all these hair brained ideas:
- Intelligent Design
- Taxing Drug Money. It can say in it's next budget - drug revenues have gone up about 30%. Then, hospital bills have gone up 50%. What?? Some bloody hippy must be the governor of kansas, brainless, senseless. Maybe he did all this high on cocaine.
Heh..You will be surprised how much time I spend online. Very bad.

Anonymous said...

after all these cinematic digressions lets come back to the main topic ..

Funny nobody did study this b4 levitt. I mean why do people get into gangs has always been an imponderable ...

Artful Badger said...

Hmm..I think the toughest thing was about the study was not doing it..but getting reliable data. He miraculously got his hands on some.

Anonymous said...

Ramani,
I'm still keeping this alive......

As asked...
why people get into gangs???
Thats an interesting question...

When talking about drugs, or its economics; I guess drugs n gangsters / mafias are "empirically" inter-related; as much as agricultural economies with joint-family system and industrial economies with nuclear families...

Now, just regress only a couple of decades back; taking drugs did not have as much negativity attached to it, as it is today; in fact in the 70's it was the rage!!! Take any cultural-index: rock-music, Hollywood, politics...to Hippie-culture ... drugs was all pervading... from Sinatra to Dylan to Beatles, to Hendrix, Joplin..... all indulged in drugs; so much so that even our ... Clinton and our President Bush also had stints with Marijuana /Coke. Drug-cartels flourished and as I've previously stated, drugs n ganster activities are almost always intricately related. Why talk about past, even today they say that Al Queda is massively funded by drug-money...


.... and another important factor is that once you enter this drug-net; you just cant walk outta it ..... where killings is a norm. Lure of instant cash may pull people in who may forever be stuck into this ...


Coming to movies, many of these gangster movies are based on true stories and hats-off to Hollywood producer-directors, they do bring out reality so entertainingly packaged!! As Ramani pointed out the movie "Goodfellas". It is baased on the life of a gangster, who divulged all inner-workings and took "witness-protection". Similarly "Donnie Brasco" was a federal-agent who entered drug-mafia, to see its operations from within ....

Artful Badger said...

Hmm..I think drugs have been around for a very long time. The British use of Opium was socially acceptable. Hence the word Opiate. But, I am not sure when the transformation came when drugs began to be viewed very negatively. I am guessing that in the early 80's the sale of drugs went out of control with all the stuff coming in from Colombia and the like.I think the sale of drugs to some extent is illegal not because they are drugs because they involve huge illegal transactions. There are some figures on how much money is involved and it's a lot.

Anonymous said...

WoW, so opinion/opiate has origins in drug "Opium"...

btw, India is the world's largest producer of "legal" opium; mainly used to make painkillers by pharmaceutical companies ....
Afghanistan is the largest producer of opium/heroin..

... Now lemme add another word; with roots in drugs: now this one is sinister: the word "assassination" is
derived from the drug hashish (marijuana)...

( Now I know all those who read "Da Vinci Code" ... Still; since the topic deals with drugs n gangster... so it can find place here...)